You have a problem! You are not alone.
Everybody has problems. Life is a continuous series of problems. The good thing
is that every problem has a solution, though it may not be very obvious from
the start, or easy to achieve. This is why problem solving can turn out to be
such a puzzling and frustrating process. I will share with you two creative
thinking techniques that should help you tackle your situation and open the roads
towards reaching your desired goals.
Today we are going to write scenarios of
futures.
According to the dictionary, ’a scenario is
an imagined or projected sequence of events, especially any of several detailed
plans or possibilities’. Scenarios are very useful creative tool because they can
offer an insight into potential situations and environments that you may
encounter while solving a particular problem. They can also indicate which
environmental factors to monitor over time, so should the environment change,
you can recognize where it may be heading. You do not need to be a skilled
script writer to be able to write future scenarios. You just need to gather as
much information possible about the problem and its potential solutions and
then use your experience and imagination to create your own versions of future
events. Good thing about writing scenarios is that they are less risky than
standard action plans and more flexible because they do not rely on standard
business forecasts and trend analyses. The best thing about this problem
solving technique is that you can use scenarios in business - when deciding
upon future strategies, but also in your personal life - to help you define
your life goals and the paths towards their realisation.
Alternative
Scenarios
To be able to write alternative scenarios
you will need to identify major environmental factors that might influence the
future, and consequently, the choice which problem solving idea to implement. These
factors can be different forces, drivers, trends, limits... that could influence
the conditions for the implementation of a particular idea or strategy. Then,
you should develop four scenarios based on the principal factors, including the
most important and most uncertain factors (those completely outside of your
control). These four scenarios are:
Status
Quo Scenario – a future in which current key
conditions persist (e.g. legislation, social trends, cultural complexity,
economic conditions...);
Sustainable
Scenario – a resource-based or values-based
scenario, the one that takes into consideration most preferable cultural trends
and values;
Disaster
Scenario – the one in which at least some
conditions change for the worse, or some critical system fails;
Evolutionary
Scenario – as opposition to Status Quo Scenario –
the one comprising new values, new thinking, new social and cultural conditions
(i.e. breaking away with the tradition, current patterns...)
Life is unpredictable and no matter how
clever and creative we might be, it is likely to surprise us with unsuspected circumstances.
It is possible that several, even all four scenarios occur in some form in the
future. Also, certain issues and predictions from different scenarios might combine
and become a part of our reality. With these four scenarios in hand, we will
have a rich set of alternative futures and possible actions that we can execute
according to a chosen scenario, or we can combine them depending on the current
environmental conditions.
Alternative scenarios can also be developed
as personal life scripts exploring different futures that might happen to you:
Status
Quo Scenario – I live my life as it is; I am happy
with where I am right now; my lifestyle, values, interests will not change
significantly;
Sustainable
Scenario – I am ready to change and accept the
values, conditions, trends... that the modern society will impose on me;
Disaster
Scenario – my life might turn ugly due to some
personal, economic... problems that I might encounter;
Evolutionary
Scenario – I am the master of my own future. I
create my reality. I will live a new life and break all the ties that connect
me to the Old Me.
Choose your future, voilà!
Perfect
Scenario
This time you are required to think of the
situation where all your problems are solved and you have reached your desired
goal. Write down a detailed description of the perfect situation for your
business, project or your personal life. Use as many details as you can think
of - make your vision as vivid as if it would appear before you the very next
time you blinked your eyes.
By visualising the perfect future you will block
negative thinking and motivate your mind to think creatively about the possible
problem solutions. Besides, by thinking about the (distant) future you will be
less burdened with the immediate obstacles that normally tend to block your
creative thinking. The process of writing the perfect script will reveal to you
numerous important factors that constitute your idea. By modifying the
constituent parts of the idea you will later be able to make it more feasible so
that even if it turns out to be less perfect, the end result will still be very
satisfying.
In the following days return frequently to your
Perfect Scenario and write down all the actions you need to undertake in order
to achieve the desired future. Allow yourself several days to come up with the
most comprehensive list of actions and ideas for their execution. List all the
actions and ideas chronologically, from the present day to the desired future.
If it is a complex project with the overlapping steps, or if there are certain
actions that require more time and resources to execute, draw a table chart to
help you distribute the actions chronologically. Start executing those actions.
What are the things that you can do this month to get closer to your goal? What
are the things that you can do this week? Today? Right now?
Problem solving requires lots of courage and
energy, but if you make a good strategy and divide your final goal into many
small tasks that are easy to accomplish, with every new task finished, you will
be one step closer to your goal.
Key words for this blog post:
creative thinking,
problem solving, creative thinking technique, scenario writing, script
writing, life scripts...
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